2011/12 NHL Preview - Southeast Division

We've covered the West (Northwest, Central, Pacific), so now we turn our attention to the Eastern Conference, beginning today with the Southeast. Seen for several years as the league's softest, the Southeast has rebounded, now with two clubs that have legitimate eyes on taking the East.

CAROLINA HURRICANES

Projected depth chart / lines:

Jussi Jokinen - Eric Staal - Jeff Skinner

Tuomo Ruutu - Brandon Sutter - Alexei Ponikarovsky

Chad Larose - Zac Dalpe - Zach Boychuk

Jiri Tlusty - Tim Brent - Anthony Stewart

Joni Pitkanen - Tomas Kaberle

Bryan Allen - Jamie McBain

Derek Joslin - Tim Gleason

Cam Ward

Brian Boucher

The 'Canes have missed the playoffs for two seasons in a row, and were as active as they could be this off-season to try to get back into contention. The club managed to keep most of their pending UFA like Joni Pitkanen and Jussi Jokinen, only really having to say goodbye to Erik Cole. The club will hope young players like Zach Boychuk and Zac Dalpe are ready to pick up the offensive slack left by Cole's departure, as free agent signings Alexei Ponikarovsky and Anthony Stewart are low-risk gamble shots in the dark. After a strong sophomore season in 2009-10 where he topped the 20 goal mark, Brandon Sutter regressed last year, so Carolina will need him to bounce back. The club must also hope that last year's standout 18-year old rookie Jeff Skinner doesn't hit a sophomore slump, or else it could be a long season for the Hurricanes up front.

On defense, Tomas Kaberle was a great value signing after his poor play with the Boston Bruins minimized interest in his services league-wide. Kaberle has topped 45 points in 5 of the last 6 seasons (the only miss being a year he scored 31 points in just 57 games), despite playing for some pretty poor clubs. 23-year old offensive d-man Jamie McBain should continue his development after putting up an amazing 10 points in 14 NHL games at the end of the 2009-10 season, and building that into a 30 point rookie season last year. He is a nice sleeper pick for a late round of a deep hockey draft.

If the 'Canes due have a chance to surprise this year despite some holes and questions, it's because of Cam Ward. After winning the Stanley Cup and Conn Smythe as a rookie, Ward has shown he is amongst the game's best goaltenders and will give his team a chance to win on any given night.

YourCanadiens Verdict: Bubble playoff team.

FLORIDA PANTHERS

Projected depth chart / lines:

David Booth - Stephen Weiss - Kris Versteeg

Tomas Fleischmann - Sean Bergenheim - Tomas Kopecky

Evgeni Dadonov - Scottie Upshall - Matt Bradley

Jack Skille - Marcel Goc - Mike Santorelli

Brian Campbell - Mike Weaver

Dmitry Kulikov - Ed Jovanovski

Jason Garrison - Keaton Ellerby

Jose Theodore

Scott Clemmensen

We covered the remodeling of the Florida Panthers in an earlier piece, and certainly the club that will begin the 2011-12 season looks nothing like that which finished 2010-11. Up front, the acquisitions were numerous as the team struggled to reach the salary cap floor. Kris Versteeg has become somewhat of a journeyman, now joining his fourth club since 2009-10, but his ability to contribute offensively cannot be questioned. Sean Bergenheim and Tomas Fleischmann were great high-potential-payoff underrated signings (both were high on our initial wish list of Habs targets), though the team did have to overpay to bring them in. When Bergenheim was taken in the first round in 2002, he was seen as a similar player to fellow Finn Saku Koivu, but his offense never seemed to translate at the NHL level. He broke out last season, first with a career high of 29 points, but then far more importantly, 9 goals and 11 points in 16 playoff games - certainly the kind of clip the Panthers would love to see him at this year. A third round selection in 2007, skilled Russian Evgeni Dadonov should see full-time action at the NHL level after scoring 17 points in 36 games with Florida last year. It will be interesting to see how this chemistry experiment plays itself out, but it is unlikely to yield immediate results.

On defense, the big ticket acquisitions of Brian Campbell and Ed Jovanovski will soak up minutes to allow the young core to develop at their own pace. Leading this group of youth is 2009 1st rounder Dmitry Kulikov, already entering his third season in the big league after scoring 26 points in 72 games last year.

The team lost starter Tomas Vokoun to free agency this summer, instead going with a duo of Jose Theodore and Scott Clemensen to hold the fort until top prospect Jacob Markstrom is ready for full-time duty. Over the last two seasons, Theodore seemed to have refound his game, so he should be an adequate stop-gap.

YourCanadiens Verdict: Out of the playoffs.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

Projected depth chart / lines:

Ryan Malone - Steven Stamkos - Martin St. Louis

Teddy Purcell - Vincent Lecavalier - Steve Downie

Ryan Shannon - Dominic Moore - Nate Thompson

Tom Pyatt - Dana Tyrell - Adam Hall

Victor Hedman - Mattias Ohlund

Pavel Kubina - Eric Brewer

Brett Clark - Matt Gilroy

Dwayne Roloson

Mathieu Garon

The Lightning lost quite a bit of offensive depth this summer, but still possess perhaps the game's top duo in Steven Stamkos and Martin St. Louis (though I'm sure the Sedins would disagree... so let's say best non-brother duo). Dominic Moore set a career high with 18 goals last season and looks to have perhaps finally found a more permanent fit after stops in New York, Pittsburgh, Minnesota, Toronto, Buffalo, Florida, and Montreal (all by the age of 31 - WOW!). Teddy Purcell is coming off a breakout season with 51 points after joining the Lightning from the Los Angeles Kings at the 2009-10 trade deadline, and the team hopes that young first rounder prospects Carter Ashton and Brett Connolly will be able to follow his progression and make the jump to the big league in the near future to replace the likes of Simon Gagne and Sean Bergenheim.

Tampa has quietly assembled what might be the best overall D in the league for the coming season, with Victor Hedman - now in his third year - expected to emerge as a true #1 workhorse. The team managed to retain Eric Brewer after picking him up during last season, and added Rangers cast-off Matt Gilroy in an underrated move (we wanted him in Montreal), ensuring that Marc-Andre Bergeron won't have to form part of the permanent top 6.

It's a good thing the team's defense is so strong, as starter Dwayne Roloson will turn 42 just after the season kicks off on October 12. Rolli had a great year and is a very impressive athlete given his age, but did show signs of fatigue as the playoffs rolled on. Fortunately, the team locked up a very capable back-up in Mathieu Garon who could easily split time with Roloson to give him any rest he needs.

YourCanadiens Verdict: Solid playoff team.

WASHINGTON CAPITALS

Projected depth chart / lines:

Alexander Ovechkin - Nicklas Backstrom - Alexander Semin

Troy Brouwer - Brooks Laich - Mike Knuble

Marcus Johansson - Joel Ward - Jason Chimera

D.J. King - Jeff Halpern - Matt Hendricks

Roman Hamrlik - Mike Greene

John Carlson - Dennis Wideman

Jeff Schultz - Karl Alzner

Tomas Vokoun

Michal Neuvirth

The Capitals seemed to make all the right moves in all the right places this off-season, adding size up front in budding power forward Troy Brouwer while cementing their bottom 6 with the additions of playoff vets Joel Ward and Jeff Halpern. They are a popular pick as a league favourite at this stage, now boasting a far deeper team than just the top line of Alexander Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, and Alexander Semin. Their 2nd line - with Brouwer, Brooks Laich, and Mike Knuble - offers three big bodies that are certain to be a challenge to defend against. Marcus Johansson had a strong rookie season at the age of 20 last year when put into a big minute role due to injuries. When the team is healthy, he should be able to play against opposing bottom lines and thus may be able to surpass last season's 13 goals and 27 points.

On defense, Roman Hamrlik seems like the perfect signing to balance out the offense-first Mike Greene and John Carlson. The veteran may be slowing down with age, but he provided very valuable services to the Canadiens and will be missed. Former first round selection Karl Alzner should take on a bigger role entering his second year as a full-time NHL'er. The club has a bit of a log-jam on the bottom pairing, with both Tom Poti and John Erskine also under contract, at $2.875M and $1.5M respectively. Given that the team still needs to do a bit of wiggling to get under the salary cap, expect one of the two to find a new employer soon enough.

The team's biggest coup this off-season, however, was in nets. After getting a king's ransom in return for Semyon Varlamov - who some felt would ultimately end up being a third stringer behind Michal Neuvirth and Braden Holtby - the club signed star keeper Tomas Vokoun to a dirt cheap one year contract, filling perhaps the last hole needed to make the Caps a true top flight contender.

YourCanadiens Verdict: Conference contender.

WINNIPEG JETS

Projected depth chart / lines:

Andrew Ladd - Nikolai Antropov - Bryan Little

Evander Kane - Alexander Burmistrov - Blake Wheeler

Chris Thorburn - Jim Slater - Eric Fehr

Patrice Cormier - Ben Maxwell - Tanner Glass

Dustin Byfuglien - Tobias Enstrom

Ron Hainsey - Zach Bogosian

Mark Stuart - Johnny Oduya

Ondrej Pavelec

Chris Mason

Excitement over the return of the Jets gave way to a bit of disappointment as the former Atlanta Thrashers were rather quiet over the off-season. This may have been in part intentional, however. It gives management and ownership one year to evaluate the talent that is in place, and besides, given the crazy travel schedule they'll have playing one year out of the Southeast Division, even the best of rosters would have likely had some difficulty in succeeding. So perhaps the bigger splashes come next summer.

Meanwhile, the team should benefit from the continued development of Bryan Little and Evander Kane up front, two young stars who just happen to be western Canadian born and should feel at home in Manitoba. Alexander Burmistrov, the team's first round pick in 2010, had a quiet season as a 19-year old, but with a full year of experience under his belt should easily surpass the 20 points he finished with. Team captain Andrew Ladd (who conspiracy theorists will remind you is also a western Canada kid) set career highs with 29 goals and 59 points last year so he'll look to continue on that high armed with a new long-term contract. While there is a solid young core in place, the team lacks in depth at the moment, and without sufficient go-to talent on the top lines, they will struggle to produce for stretches this year.

On the backend, though, the Jets can count on a solid group of 7 (the 6 above + Randy Jones). Developing star Zach Bogosian remains unsigned but hopes to have a deal in place for camp. While the team lacks in offense, the top pair of Dustyin Byfuglien and Tobias Enstrom are skilled in supporting the attack and will both be counted on when the younger forwards slump.

In goal, it is reasonable to expect that Ondrej Pavelec and Chris Mason split games at about a 50-30 ratio, provided the former's health concerns are all behind him. When he has been on the ice, Pavelec has shown improvement year over year and this could be the season he establishes himself as a true number 1.

YourCanadiens Verdict: Out of the playoffs.

Thanks for reading. Monday we move on in the East to the Atlantic Division, before previewing the Habs and the Northeast Tuesday, and finally our full predictions on Wednesday.

Extreme Makeover: NHL Edition

In today's Around the League report, we will look at two teams who have made drastic changes to their NHL rosters over the last 3 weeks: the Philadelphia Flyers and the Florida Panthers. Through a series of trades and signings, both have gone about overhauls of their clubs for very different reasons, but ultimately, both have made significant improvements.

The Philadelphia Flyers

Roster THEN (May 6, 2011, Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals):

Kris Versteeg - Mike Richards - Jeff Carter

James van Riemsdyk - Claude Giroux - Daniel Briere

Scott Hartnell - Darrell Powe - Ville Leino

Jody Shelley - Blair Betts - Daniel Carcillo

Kimmo Timonen - Braydon Coburn

Andrej Meszaros - Matt Carle

Danny Syvret - Sean O'Donnell

Sergei Bobrovsky

Brian Boucher

Injuries & Scratches: Chris Pronger, Nikolai Zherdev, Andreas Nodl, Ian Laperriere, Michael Leighton, Oskars Bartulis

Roster NOW (July 6, 2011, projecting for opening night 2011-12):

James Van Riemsdyk ($1.654m) / Claude Giroux ($3.750m) / Daniel Briere ($6.500m)

Wayne Simmonds ($2.500m) / Brayden Schenn ($3.110m) / Jakub Voracek ($2.250m)

Scott Hartnell ($4.200m) / Maxime Talbot ($1.800m) / Jaromir Jagr ($3.300m)

Andreas Nodl ($0.845m) / Blair Betts ($0.700m) / Jody Shelley ($1.100m)

Kimmo Timonen ($6.333m) / Chris Pronger ($4.921m)

Andrej Meszaros ($4.000m) / Braydon Coburn ($3.200m)

Andreas Lilja ($0.737m) / Matt Carle ($3.437m)

Ilya Bryzgalov ($5.666m) / Sergei Bobrovsky ($1.750m)

Injuries & Scratches: Oskars Bartulis ($0.600m) / Ian Laperriere ($1.166m)

SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $63,522,262; BONUSES: $3,815,000

CAP SPACE (22-man roster): $777,738

Evidently satisfied on the blueline once they would be bolstered by a healthy Chris Pronger, the Flyers identified goaltending as their main need this off-season and traded for the rights of pending UFA Ilya Bryzgalov. The problem, however, was a lack of cap room to fit in Bryzgalov's exorbitant salary demands. Amidst rumours of divides and cancers in the locker room, GM Paul Holmgren underwent a process very similar to that which Bob Gainey followed during the 2009 off-season. Both teams had a strong year one year prior, but were then unceremoniously swept from the playoffs by the Boston Bruins the following season, and proceeded to blow their core apart.

First came the Jeff Carter trade. Sent to Columbus for Jakub Voracek and a 1st round pick (Sean Couturier). "Ok," Flyers fans thought, "we got a great return AND now we have the cap room we need! Awesome!" But Holmgren wasn't done there.When rumours were floated in the moments following the Carter deal that Mike Richards was also on the market, people thought it was preposterous. But only a few hours later... BAM! Mike Richards was a Los Angeles King in return for Brayden Schenn and Wayne Simmonds. And just like that, two offensive catalysts that had led the Flyers all the way to the Stanley Cup Finals just a year ago had been cast off.

Trading both Carter and Richards let the Flyers sign Bryzgalov to a HUGE 9 year, $51M deal, giving them credible netminding (or - they had better hope it will) for the first time in ages. The team also had suddenly created a new youth movement, boasting a top-notch young core including the following all at age 23 or younger:

Brayden Schenn

James van Riemsdyk

Wayne Simmonds

Jakub Voracek

Sean Couturier

Given that the club is looking to contend immediately, they were active on July 1st, supplementing their offense with the surprising acquisition of Jaromir Jagr, and stealing depth roleplayer Maxim Talbot from state rivals the Pittsbugh Penguins.

How much better is this team than last year's? Well they lost the entirety of what was considered their "1st line" for their final game of 2010-11, and it is no sure thing they will be able to immediately replace the offensive contribution. Certainly Bryzgalov makes them a cup contender if he can reproduce his regular season performances and step up his playoff game with his new team. The East looks a lot tougher now with contenders in Washington and Philadelphia both addressing their Achilles' heel between the pipes. But will Jagr be a productive NHL'er at age 39? Will van Rimesdyk step up his game and put up big numbers at the NHL level? Will Jakub Voracek continue progressing in a new environment? And will Brayden Schenn be ready for a significant role in his rookie pro season? Many questions remain for this team that will have very little wiggle room against the cap should the answer to any of these questions be "no." They should be able to compete for a division or even conference title, but then we could have said that about the Flyers last year and the year prior. It remains to be seen if this group can get over the next hump.

The Florida Panthers

Roster THEN (April 8, 2011, Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning):

David Booth - Marty Reasoner - Jack Skille

Sergei Samsonov - Mike Santorelli - Steve Bernier

Evgeny Dadonov - Ryan Carter - Shawn Matthias

Michael Repik - Tim Kennedy - Niclas Bergfors

Jason Garrison - Mike Weaver

Dmitry Kulikov - Keaton Ellerby

Clay Wilson - Joe Callahan

Tomas Vokoun

Scott Clemmensen

Injuries & Scratches: Stephen Weiss, Rostislav Olesz

That's a little scary. Other than a strong goaltending duo, it is almost hard to believe this is an NHL roster. It isn't hard to understand, then, why the main motivation for the Panthers rebuild was a need to spend about $30M just to reach the salary cap FLOOR!

Roster NOW (July 6, 2011, projecting for opening night 2011-12):

David Booth ($4.250m) / Stephen Weiss ($3.100m) / Kris Versteeg ($3.083m)

Tomas Fleischmann ($4.500m) / Sean Bergenheim ($2.750m) / Tomas Kopecky ($3.000m)

Evgeni Dadonov ($0.875m) / Scottie Upshall ($3.500m) / Matt Bradley ($0.950m)

Shawn Matthias ($0.850m) / Marcel Goc ($1.700m) / Mike Santorelli ($0.600m)

Brian Campbell ($7.142m) / Mike Weaver ($0.900m)

Dmitri Kulikov ($1.325m) / Ed Jovanovski ($4.125m)

Jason Garrison ($0.675m) / Keaton Ellerby ($0.787m)

Jose Theodore ($1.500m) / Scott Clemmensen ($1.200m)

BUYOUTS: Ville Koistinen ($0.466m)

Injuries & Scratches: Jack Skille ($0.825m) / Michal Repik ($0.816m) / Steven Reinprecht ($2.050m)

SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $50,972,042; BONUSES: $800,000

CAP SPACE (23-man roster): $13,327,958

Whereas the Flyers had a strong team and rebuilt to fill a need, the Panthers had needs all across the board and changed their composition at every position. Clearly the most notable upgrade comes in the group of forwards. While the team still lacks true top-end talent (particularly down the middle), they now have offensive depth to at least compete with most other clubs around the league.

On the back end, adding Brian Campbell and Ed Jovanovski - despite their large and long contracts - will be a major boon to the development of youngsters like Kulikov and Ellerby.

The main problem with Florida's situation isn't the moves they have made. Rather, it's a problem with the National Hockey League in Florida and the terms of the present collective bargaining agreement. If there is going to be another NHL lockout next year, you can take the Panthers as a prime explanation for its necessity. As a team that practically gives away more tickets than it sells, even with the present revenue sharing plan, Florida cannot afford an annual salary of $48M. Certainly they can't afford to commit to the long-term deals of players like Campbell and Jovanovski. The NHL needs to understand that for future sustainability, the growing salary cap won't allow for the maintenance of competitive parity around the league. The only way to ensure that is finding owners with deep pockets and doing the best to grow the game in ALL 30 markets. There is no room for obvious gaffs in wasted marketing dollars like Stan Lee's Guardian Project. That money - undoubtedly a significant sum - could have been invested in market development instead.

And there needs to be a shorter leash on these markets. If it's been tried and failed for many years running, it's time to give another market a try. The health of the league and growth of the game will be stronger feeding off interested markets (even if only short term) than sticking around in places where hockey is an after-though at best.

Is this Florida team better? No doubt, they are miles ahead of any team the Panthers have iced in years. But it's going to take more than that to build a fanbase. Is this a playoff team? Certainly no guarantee there, though they may find themselves competing for the 8th spot. And given the disinterest in the marketplace, it's going to take a lot more than a bubble club to start gaining the momentum to sustain a franchise.